Red Sox

Hot Stove Lunch: Forecast model sees Red Sox taking a step back in 2019

(Bob Levey/Getty Images)

Take this for what it's worth, but one well-respected forecasting model expects the Red Sox to suffer a significant drop-off in 2019.

Last year, of course, the Red Sox set a franchise record with 108 regular season wins, then lost just three times in the postseason en route to a World Series win.

But Baseball Prospectus, through its PECOTA (Player empirical comparison and optimization test algorithm) system, projects that the Sox will dip to 90 wins, good for second place in the AL East behind the 96-win New York Yankees.